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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Powell 'landed the plane' but economy shouldn't have needed saving, says Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the Wharton School, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to share his reaction to the March jobs report, potential rate cuts, and earnings expectations.
Persons: Fed's Powell, Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Wharton School
Federal Reserve Bank Chair Jerome Powell speaks during the Stanford Business, Government and Society Forum at Stanford University on April 03, 2024 in Stanford, California. Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday it will take a while for policymakers to evaluate the current state of inflation, keeping the timing of potential interest rate cuts uncertain. "We do not expect that it will be appropriate to lower our policy rate until we have greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 2 percent," he added. "Recent readings on both job gains and inflation have come in higher than expected," Powell said. The uncertainty about rates has caused some consternation in markets, with stocks falling sharply earlier this week as Treasury yields moved higher.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Justin Sullivan, Powell, Raphael Bostic, Mary Daly, Cleveland's Loretta Mester Organizations: Bank, Stanford Business, Government, Society, Stanford University, Getty, Federal, Market, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, San Francisco Fed, Group Locations: Stanford , California
A man takes photos of a view showing residential and commercial buildings, from an observation deck beneath the YTN Seoul Tower, commonly known as the Namsan Tower, in Seoul on September 3, 2021. Asia-Pacific markets rose after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that interest rate cuts may not be too distant if inflation signals support policy easing. Speaking to the Senate Banking Committee, Powell didn't offer an exact timeline for rate cuts, but noted they would go down soon. "We're waiting to become more confident that inflation is moving sustainably at 2%. When we do get that confidence, and we're not far from it, it'll be appropriate to begin to dial back the level of restriction," Powell said in response to a question about rates and inflation.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, we're Organizations: U.S . Federal, Senate Banking Locations: Seoul, Asia, Pacific, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman: Deep down Fed's Powell is 'petrified' of redoing Volcker againSteve Eisman, Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the hot jobs data and impact on the Fed's rate path decision, latest market trends, and more.
Persons: Steve Eisman, Fed's Powell, redoing Volcker, Neuberger Berman
WASHINGTON (AP) — Inflation is slowing steadily, but it’s too early to declare victory or to discuss when the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates, Chair Jerome Powell said in prepared remarks Friday. He added, "It would be premature to conclude with confidence" that the Fed has raised its benchmark interest rate high enough to fully defeat high inflation. Nor is it time to “speculate on when policy might ease," Powell said, referring to the possibility of cuts in the Fed's benchmark interest rate, which affects many consumer and business loans. Political Cartoons View All 1274 ImagesThe Fed's policymakers are expected to leave interest rates alone when they next meet Dec. 12-13. Beginning in March 2022, the Fed raised its key rate 11 times from near zero — to about 5.4%, the highest level in 22 years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, That's Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Spelman College Locations: Atlanta
HONG KONG (AP) — Shares edged lower Monday in quiet trading in Asia ahead of a meeting this week between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. On Wall Street on Friday, the S&P 500 jumped 1.6% to 4,415.24. Big Tech stocks were the strongest forces pushing upward on the S&P 500, including a 2.3% gain for Apple and 2.5% rise for Microsoft. The release of the University of Michigan report initially caused Treasury yields to pare their drops, which caused stock indexes to wobble. On Thursday, a jump in Treasury yields knocked stocks lower to break an eight-day winning streak for the S&P 500, one of its longest in the last two decades.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Biden, Xi, Australia's, Doximity, Powell, , Brent Organizations: Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Federal, University of Michigan, Fed, CME Group, Federal Reserve, Treasury, U.S . Locations: HONG KONG, Asia, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Seoul, U.S, pare
"If we were to get a low CPI next week, yields can come down around that number and we may get some weakening in the dollar," Wizman said. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects interest rate expectations, fell 0.2 basis points to 5.020%, while the benchmark 10-year yield was down 3.2 basis points at 4.598%. Traders would be keeping a close watch on interest rate volatility, said Schneller, noting major market fluctuations recently. "A primary cause for this volatility is the debate over whether the current Fed funds rate is overly high or insufficient." In currency markets, the dollar index rose 0.019% to 105.91, with the euro up 0.04% to $1.067.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Powell, Jerome Powell, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, Powell's, Bruno Schneller, Schneller, Tapas Strickland, Brent, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasignhe, Tomasz Janowski, Richard Chang Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, International Monetary Fund, Fed, FX, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, INVICO Asset Management, Reuters Graphics U.S, NAB, New, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Macquarie, New York, China, Beijing, New Zealand, London
[1/2] Climate protesters interrupt an event with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the International Monetary Fund, in Washington, DC, U.S., November 9, 2023. REUTERS/Howard Schneider Acquire Licensing RightsCompanies International Monetary Fund FollowNov 9 (Reuters) - Climate activists on Thursday took over a stage inside the secured headquarters of the International Monetary Fund where Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Israeli central bank Governor Amir Yaron were speaking at a research conference. "End fossil finance," the protesters shouted as Powell was ushered off the stage by security. It was the second time in weeks that an event attended by the Fed chief was disrupted by climate activists. A group took over the stage at an event featuring Powell in New York on Oct. 24.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Howard Schneider, Amir Yaron, Powell, Yaron, Powell's, Spokespeople, Ann Saphir, Mark Porter, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, International Monetary Fund, REUTERS, International Monetary, Fed, IMF, Thomson Locations: Washington , DC, Israeli, New York
Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. The fight to restore price stability "has a long way to go," the Fed chair said. Going forward, "it may be that a greater share of the progress in reducing inflation will have to come from tight monetary policy restraining the growth of aggregate demand," Powell said. "Supply shocks that have a persistent effect on potential output could call for restrictive policy to better align aggregate demand with the suppressed level of aggregate supply," he said. Reporting by Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Powell, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Rights, . Federal, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S
Stock Market Today: Futures Tread Water; Fed's Powell Due to Speak
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
That is the key question for investors after a rally in U.S. stock and Treasury markets. U.S. stock futures suggested the rally could pause. Dow industrials futures traded flat. The 10-year yield traded around 4.6%, up from 4.570% on Tuesday. International stock markets broadly declined.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S, Nikkei Locations: U.S, Washington . U.S, Europe
Morning Bid: Waiting for word from the Fed chief
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. Last week's surprisingly soft jobs data heightened expectations that interest rates had peaked, but Fed commentary since then has warned against complacency in the fight against inflation. For now, investors have dialled up wagers on near-term rate cuts, with the Fed funds rate showing better than 50/50 odds for one as early as May. In Asia time, long-term Treasury yields are stuck around 4.58% and the dollar is biding its time around $1.07 per euro. While the Fed outlook dominates investors' attention, there is plenty of central bank speak in store from Europe as well.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Kevin Buckland, Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Philip Lane, Joachim Nagel, Pablo Hernandez de Cos, Andrew Bailey, Fed's Powell, Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Kevin, Kevin Buckland Markets, Reuters Graphics, Bank of Spain, Bank of England, Adidas, Airbus, Bayer, Continental, Credit Agricole, Federal Reserve Division of Research, Statistics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Asia, Europe, Germany, Brussels, Irish
Nov 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Producer and consumer price inflation figures will be released, the highlights of a regional calendar that also includes Japanese bank lending, trade and current account figures, Indonesian retail sales, and Philippines GDP. Global yields are moving too - the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield is back below 0.85%, having come within two basis points of 1% last week. The decline in U.S. bond yields is removing some of the dollar's shine, which in turn is allowing Asian currencies to fight back. Yen traders on Thursday are also eyeing Japanese bank lending figures for October and September's trade and current account report.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Pan Gongsheng, Ping, Fed's Powell, Josie Kao Organizations: Treasury, People's Bank of China, Financial, Ping An Insurance Group, Reuters, Nissan, Honda, Sony, Group, China PPI, CPI, Thomson Locations: Asia, Philippines, Beijing, China's, Japan, Philippine, China
Nov 8 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Asian markets on Wednesday should be well-placed to bounce back from the previous day's declines, supported by another positive showing on Wall Street that secured the S&P 500's and Nasdaq's longest winning streak in two years. Tuesday's slide in U.S. Treasury yields will also support risk appetite in Asia, although some of that could be tempered by the dollar's resilience. With little on the regional economic data and policy events calendar to give markets a steer, investors will probably take their cue from Wall Street. The mostly cautious tone from U.S. policymakers on Tuesday should also help support sentiment in Asia on Wednesday.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, WeWork, Softbank, Fed's Powell, Williams, Barr, Cook, Josie Kao Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Monetary Fund, IMF, Aussie, Reserve Bank of, Japan FX, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Asia, China, Beijing, Reserve Bank of Australia, Jefferson, Japan
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday that market borrowing costs would need to be sustainably higher for that to bear on future central bank monetary policy choices. Tighter financial conditions could bear on Fed actions if they are persistent and it "remains to be seen" if that will be the case. But he did add higher Treasury market yields "are showing through" to real world borrowing costs, Powell said at a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Powell, Michael S, Chizu Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S
Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that he sees no reason to change the current drawdown of the central bank's still-massive balance sheet. The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee "is not considering changing the pace of balance sheet runoff. While shrinking Fed holdings may have a small impact on real world borrowing costs, "I think it’s hard to make a case that reserves are even close to scarce at this point." Reuters GraphicsFed officials have said repeatedly that the balance sheet drawdown effort complements rate rises and runs in the background.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Powell, it's, Loretta Mester, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics Fed, Reuters Graphics, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S
Now, to complicate matters for a professional caste which prides itself on being data-driven, the Middle East is throwing a new set of real but unquantifiable risks into their equations. Unless the picture changes dramatically in coming days, the European Central Bank, U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan are already expected to keep their policy rates on hold in meetings over the next two weeks. ECB rate-setter Yannis Stournaras, the governor of the Greek central bank, argued that Europe had broadly managed to absorb the effects of rising energy costs triggered by the Ukraine war and hoped it could do the same if further shocks emerged. For now, the conflict remains largely confined to Israel and Gaza, something S&P Global Market Intelligence said in a study this week was already "muddying the waters" for central banks. As the Fed's Powell put it: "Our institutional role at the Federal Reserve is to monitor these developments for their economic implications, which remain highly uncertain".
Persons: Jerome Powell, David Westin, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Huw Pill, Yannis Stournaras, Tetsuya Hiroshima, Fed's Powell, Dan Burns, Balazs Koranyi, Francesco Canepa, Maria Martinez, Leika, Kevin Yao, David Milliken, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Federal, Anchor, Bloomberg, Street, Economic, of New, REUTERS, Bank of England, International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank, U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Fed, ECB, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Tokai, Toyota Motor Corp, P Global Market Intelligence, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, Israel, Ukraine, Iran, Hormuz, Europe, United States, Japan, Gaza, Washington, Frankfurt, Berlin, Tokyo, Beijing, London
Exacerbating worries over higher-for-longer interest rates, benchmark Treasury yields brushed against the 5% level. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 1.19% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.95%. Emerging market stocks lost 1.22%. U.S. Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year brushing against the 5% threshold as the Fed's Powell warned that additional monetary policy tightening could be in the cards. The greenback weakened against a basket of world currencies as benchmark Treasury yields crept higher and gold surged.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, Stovall, spooked, Rishi Sunak, Joe Biden's, Powell, Brent, Gold, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, Bernadette Baum, Leslie Adler, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, U.S, Federal, Research, Tesla Inc, Netflix Inc, British, Hamas, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Israel, Gaza, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
Powell said U.S. central bankers are moving carefully on policy now after aggressive rate hikes last year to give time for tighter conditions to slow the economy and inflation. "Quite clear that the market is reading into Powell's comments on tighter financial conditions potentially leading to the tightening cycle being done and dusted. Obviously other FOMC officials have said similar, but hearing so 'from the horse's mouth' gives the statement extra credibility." The tone was a bit more dovish than other Fed officials recently. "It's hard to make too much of a determination about what happens with knee jerk reactions immediately after any type of Fed comments ...
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, MICHAEL BROWN, MICHAEL JAMES, There's, CHRIS ZACCARELLI Organizations: U.S, Treasury, ALLIANCE, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC
For inflation to durably return to the Fed's 2% target, it "is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some further softening in labor market conditions," Powell said. There is evidence the labor market is cooling, Powell said, with some important measures approaching levels seen even before the pandemic. Those include new geopolitical risks to the economy from the "horrifying" attack on Israel by the Palestinian militant Hamas group, Powell said. "Persistent changes in financial conditions can have implications for the path of monetary policy," Powell said, with higher market-based interest rates, if sustained, doing the same job as Fed rate increases. "We cannot yet know how long these lower readings will persist, or where inflation will settle over coming quarters," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Powell, Dan Burns, Ann Saphir, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: . Federal, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Economic, of New, Fed, Hamas, Federal, U.S, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, of New York, Israel
Fed's Powell to take the stage amid a suddenly choppy landscape
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference after the release of the Fed policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged, at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S, September 20, 2023. Powell's appearance comes less than 48 hours before the beginning of the traditional quiet period ahead of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee's meeting on Oct. 31-Nov. 1. Many in the poll offered the caveat that if progress on inflation stalls out or reverses, the Fed would not hesitate to resume raising rates. Waller said as much on Wednesday: "If the real economy continues showing underlying strength and inflation appears to stabilize or reaccelerate, more policy tightening is likely needed despite the recent run-up in longer-term rates." Reporting by Dan Burns and Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Powell, Philip, Jefferson, Krishna Guha, Christopher Waller, Waller, Dan Burns, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, U.S, Economic, of New, Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, New York, of New York, U.S
Describing that anticipated outcome while keeping open the possibility of future rate increases will be one challenge Powell faces. Another will be discounting speculation about the prospect of rate cuts or changes to other aspects of Fed policy, such as the ongoing reduction of the central bank's balance sheet. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is just about six-tenths of a percentage point below the Fed's policy rate; when the gap between the two shifts from negative to positive is when monetary policy gets perhaps its truest test. Recent data on balance don't fully back the Fed's view of a gently slowing economy and steadily easing inflation. "Assuming the economy keeps growing ... the Fed will get back to hiking," Blitz said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Larry Meyer, Meyer, Krishna Guha, Powell's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Steven Blitz, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., Economic, of New, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Evercore ISI, Hamas, U.S . House, Graphics, TS Lombard, Thomson Locations: U.S . Congress, of New York, Israel, Palestinian, Washington, U.S
Fed's Powell set to speak Oct 19 ahead of blackout period
  + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
Oct 12 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will speak on Oct. 19 before the Economic Club of New York, just before the U.S. central bank's blackout period begins ahead of its next interest-rate decision. Powell will deliver prepared remarks and respond to questions from a moderator at the midday event in New York, according to senior Fed officials' weekly event schedule updated each Thursday. The Fed next meets on Oct. 31-Nov. 1; officials are barred from public comments on the economy or policy outlook starting the second Saturday before policy meetings begin. Reporting By Dan Burns; Editing by Leslie AdlerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dan Burns, Leslie Adler Organizations: Economic, of New, Fed, Thomson Locations: of New York, U.S, New York
YORK, Pa., Oct 2 (Reuters) - The U.S. economy is still dealing with the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said during a meeting with community and business leaders in York, Pennsylvania. "We are still coming through the other side of the pandemic," Powell said, noting labor shortages in healthcare, ongoing difficulties with access to child care, and other issues heightened by the health crisis. He did not comment on current monetary policy or the economic outlook in brief opening remarks. Reporting by Howard Schneider; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Howard Schneider, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Thomson Locations: Pa, U.S, York , Pennsylvania
On a visit Monday to York, Pennsylvania, Chair Jerome Powell got an earful from a group with a decidedly different perspective: Small-business people who are grappling personally with inflation, high interest rates, labor shortages and other challenges of the post-pandemic economy. It's very hard to operate a business without predictability.”Political Cartoons View All 1190 ImagesKeene noted that her parents had experienced high inflation when they ran the business back in the 1980s. As a result, her father said, “I don't have any wisdom to give you.”“We'll get inflation down," Powell said after listening to her concerns. The policymakers predicted that inflation would fall to about 2.6% by the end of 2024, with only a small rise in the unemployment rate. “What we all desire," Powell said, “is a sustained period of strong labor market conditions,” which can boost wages for the lowest-income workers.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Patrick Harker, Patties, , , Julie Flinchbaugh Keene, Keene Organizations: — Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Farm Locations: Washington, York , Pennsylvania, York, Orchard
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Powell: Supply-demand unwinding and monetary policy are responsible for current progressFed Chair Jerome Powell answers questions from reporters after announcing the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged in September.
Persons: Fed's, Jerome Powell
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